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After a rocky start, the CDU's polling seems to be on the road to recovery having retaken the lead from the AfD after Merz's recent economic and geopolitical wins. So in this video, we'll break down how this shift occurred and whether it can last.

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Sources:

German Opinion Polls https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/ https://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundesweit/ard-deutschlandtrend/2025/juni/ https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/forsa.htm  https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article256266478/umfrage-beliebtheitswerte-von-merz-steigen-ausser-hier.html https://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/zustimmung-zu-merz-nimmt-zu-union-in-trendbarometer-deutlich-vor-afd--linke-etwas-schwacher-13870510.html  https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germanys-far-right-afd-tops-poll-first-time-blow-chancellor-in-waiting-merz-2025-04-09/ 

German Economy https://www.ft.com/content/ad7b6001-52fa-4cf4-a05a-35b994be878e https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/german-industrial-lobby-group-cuts-2025-economic-forecast-us-tariffs-weigh-2025-06-23/  https://www.euronews.com/business/2025/06/17/german-economic-morale-soars-in-june-confidence-is-picking-up 

Merz International Diplomacy https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/06/germanys-merz-says-he-agreed-to-boost-cooperation-with-white-house-on-trade-issues.html  https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/05/14/merz-vows-to-rev-up-german-economic-growth-engine_6741276_4.html  https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-germany-election-united-states-donald-trump-nato/